Open AccessEffect of the Rise in Online Motorcycle Taxi Services on the Number of Motorcycles using the Interrupted Time Series Method
Author(s) -
Yovita Fabriska Laras Anindityas,
Muhamad Rizki,
Tri Basuki Joewono
Publication year - 2021
Publication title -
dimensi teknik sipil/civil engineering dimension
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
eISSN - 1979-570X
pISSN - 1410-9530
DOI - 10.9744/ced.23.2.123-130
Subject(s) - taxis , per capita , government (linguistics) , estimation , business , indonesian , time series , indonesian government , advertising , transport engineering , economics , statistics , engineering , mathematics , environmental health , medicine , population , linguistics , philosophy , management
The substantial growth of motorcycle users in Indonesia is hypothesized to be influenced by a government policy on motorcycle purchase waivers and the massive growth of online motorcycle taxis. This study aims to analyse the relationship between the emergence of online motorcycle taxis and government policy changes towards the number of motorcycles and compare the estimation model seen from the consumer and sales sides. The data were collected from the Indonesian Bureau of Statistics, Motorcycle Industry Association, and World Bank. Several estimation models were built using the interrupted time series method. The results showed that changes in government policy and income per capita significantly increased the number of motorcycles. However, the emergence of online motorcycle taxis negatively affected the increasing number of motorcycles. The results also showed that models with data representing motorcycle usage behavior provided better results than the model with motorcycle sales.