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The Analysis for the Recovery Cases of COVID-19 in Egypt using Odd Generalized Exponential Lomax Distribution
Author(s) -
H. Y. Mohamed,
Amina E. Abo-Hussien,
Salwa A. Mousa,
Magda M. F. Ismail
Publication year - 2021
Publication title -
journal of advances in mathematics and computer science
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
ISSN - 2456-9968
DOI - 10.9734/jamcs/2021/v36i530363
Subject(s) - lomax distribution , estimator , mathematics , exponential distribution , exponential function , monte carlo method , maximum likelihood , distribution (mathematics) , statistics , confidence interval , mathematical analysis
In this paper, an odd generalized exponential Lomax (OGEL, in short) distribution has been considered. Some mathematical properties of the distribution are studied. The methods of maximum likelihood and maximum product of spacing are used for estimating the model parameters.  Moreover, 95% asymptotic confidence intervals for the estimates of the parameters are derived. The Monte Carlo simulation is conducted for the two proposed methods of estimation to evaluate the performance of the various proposed estimators. The proposed methods are utilized to find estimates of the parameters of OGEL distribution for the daily recovery cases of COIVD-19 in Egypt from 12 May to 30 September 2020.The practical applications show that the proposed model provides better fits than the other models.

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