
Predictive Connection for 2100 between Atmospheric Carbon, Global Warming and Ocean Height Based on Climate History
Author(s) -
Thomas F. Valone
Publication year - 2019
Publication title -
international journal of environment and climate change
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
ISSN - 2581-8627
DOI - 10.9734/ijecc/2019/v9i1030140
Subject(s) - climate change , climate sensitivity , global warming , climatology , environmental science , global temperature , climate model , climate commitment , greenhouse gas , sea level , climate system , atmospheric sciences , effects of global warming , geography , physical geography , oceanography , geology
Many recent climate panels and committees have predicted a one and a half (1.5°C) to two degrees (2°C) Celsius as an achievable global limit to climate change [1]. Instead, this review has found that observationally informed projections of climate science underlying climate change offer a different outlook for the most likely outcome for 2100 of five to six-degree (5-6°C) increase as “most accurate” with regard to present trends, climate history and models [2]. The most significant result from the review is a quantitative, linear global temperature link to carbon dioxide levels, which has a short temporal feedback loop. The Vostok ice core temperature and CO2 values for the past 420,000 years, with sea level estimates have produced “Hansen’s Graph” [3]. Analysis results in an equation for global average temperature change and an indebted sea level rise, from any CO2 change. The best-performing climate change models and observational analysis project more warming than the average model often relied upon [4]. World atmosphere, temperature, and sea level trends for 2100 and beyond are examined. A CO2 experimental analysis proves its dramatic heat-entrapment versus air which relates to the global atmospheric system. Policy-relevant climate adaptation, including carbon capture, positive individual action, zero and negative emissions are reviewed, including Hansen (1988) projected temperature increase for 2019.