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Combination kernel function least squares support vector machine for chaotic time series prediction
Author(s) -
Zhongda Tian,
Xianwen Gao,
Tong Shi
Publication year - 2014
Publication title -
wuli xuebao
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.199
H-Index - 47
ISSN - 1000-3290
DOI - 10.7498/aps.63.160508
Subject(s) - least squares support vector machine , support vector machine , chaotic , kernel (algebra) , computer science , series (stratigraphy) , algorithm , polynomial kernel , least squares function approximation , radial basis function , function (biology) , basis function , convergence (economics) , function approximation , polynomial , time series , mathematics , kernel method , artificial intelligence , artificial neural network , machine learning , statistics , mathematical analysis , paleontology , combinatorics , estimator , evolutionary biology , economics , biology , economic growth
Considering the problem that least squares support vector machine prediction model with single kernel function cannot significantly improve the prediction accuracy of chaotic time series, a combination kernel function least squares support vector machine prediction model is proposed. The model uses a polynomial function and radial basis function to construct the kernel function of least squares support vector machine. An improved genetic algorithm with better convergence speed and precision is proposed for parameter optimization of prediction model. The simulation experimental results of Lorenz, Mackey-Glass, Sunspot-Runoff in the Yellow River and chaotic network traffic time series demonstrate the effectiveness and characteristics of the proposed model.

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