Open AccessDemographic change in Germany and reversal of spatial ageing patterns
Author(s) -
Frank Swiaczny
Publication year - 2010
Publication title -
baltic region/the baltic region
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.252
H-Index - 4
eISSN - 2310-0524
pISSN - 2079-8555
DOI - 10.5922/2079-8555-2010-4-4
Subject(s) - ageing , economic geography , demographic change , spatial change , geography , demography , physical geography , population , sociology , biology , genetics
The paper presents the result of a spatial analysis considering the effect of demographic ageing and ageing-in-place processes in Germany according to spatially differentiated ageing patterns among urban, sub-urban and rural counties up to 2025. As to the latest official population forecast counties of urban core regions will undergo a slower ageing process than other types of counties, resulting in a reversal of ageing patterns. Urban core areas in this analysis will gain demographically from their net migration surplus while suburban housing locations of the past will be no longer able to attract enough young migrants to compensate for their now rapidly ageing baby boomer generation. The process presented is typical for the fate of (suburban) housing areas with homogenous populations under conditions of ageing and shrinking if spatial mobility in ageing population groups is declining