Open AccessConsequences of earthquake prediction on other adjustments to earthquakes
Author(s) -
J. Eugene Haas,
Dennis S. Mileti
Publication year - 1976
Publication title -
bulletin of the new zealand society for earthquake engineering/nzsee quarterly bulletin
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.917
H-Index - 36
eISSN - 2324-1543
pISSN - 1174-9857
DOI - 10.5459/bnzsee.9.4.187-194
Subject(s) - earthquake prediction , recession , hazard , urban seismic risk , earthquake scenario , forensic engineering , seismology , risk analysis (engineering) , actuarial science , seismic hazard , business , engineering , geology , economics , macroeconomics , chemistry , organic chemistry
Earthquake prediction is a new technology soon to be added to the other adjustments which can be used by a community to cope with the earthquake hazard. Governmental and business organisations will be faced with new challenges when a specific earthquake prediction is issued for their area. Research on organisational response to such a prediction indicates that there will be significant positive and negative consequences. With an extended lead time of several years the risk of death and injury can be brought to near zero but the resulting local economic recession will be of major proportions.