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Real-time mesoscale modeling for short range prediction of weather over Maitri region in Antarctica
Author(s) -
S. K. Roy Bhowmik,
Ashish Kumar,
Abhimanyu Das
Publication year - 2011
Publication title -
mausam
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
ISSN - 0252-9416
DOI - 10.54302/mausam.v62i4.339
Subject(s) - weather research and forecasting model , mesoscale meteorology , weather forecasting , meteorology , global forecast system , environmental science , numerical weather prediction , north american mesoscale model , climatology , model output statistics , weather prediction , range (aeronautics) , computer science , geography , geology , materials science , composite material
The main objective of this paper is to implement Polar WRF model for the Maitri (Lat. 70° 45 S, Long. 11° 44 E) region at the horizontal resolution of 15 km using initial and boundary conditions of the Global Forecast System T-382 operational at the India Meteorological Department (IMD). The study evaluates the performance of the model using the conventional approach of case studies. The results of the case studies illustrated in this paper reveal that the model is capable of capturing synoptic and meso-scale weather systems. Forecast fields are consistent with the corresponding analysis fields. Synoptic charts of mean sea level pressure prepared by the Weather Service of South Africa at Pretoria are used for the model validation. The model derived meteograms of mean sea level pressure are compared against the corresponding observations. The study demonstrates the usefulness of the forecast products for short range forecasting of weather over the Maitri region. The forecast outputs are made available in the real-time mode in the national web site of IMD www.imd.gov.in. The study is expected to benefit weather forecasters at Maitri.

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