GENERATION OF WIND-SERIES USING CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY WIND TRANSITION MATRIX-A FIRST ORDER MARKOV PROCESS

One appl ica tion ofihe cuuiulative probability wind tra ns ition matrix is 10 determine the variousprnhal"lk ....i n,1....-ries th ai mi1;\'hl occur. during the period fur which offs hore oilspil1 risk is 10 be analysed. Du ring th is;Inalpli ~ ""'t" haw to gene la te different probable "';110.1 conditions at d iff erent Instances oftime. OnC" ur lhe method s tosiumlutcthe nl lhlu m wind behaviourt hrough lime. is 10 U ~ h istorical wi nd da ta presented in the fon n of wi nd Ira n...ilion lItutrix. Th is pa per h it;hli.::hts th r- 1llC'l h(Klulog)' and use ofthe cumulat ive probability v.i nd transition matrix. in~t'lh"ral ill~ 1111' ,Iifferl:'nl proba ble wind-series.