Open AccessLong range prediction of summer monsoon rainfall over India: Evolution and development of new models
Author(s) -
V. Thapliyal
Publication year - 1990
Publication title -
mausam
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.243
H-Index - 12
ISSN - 0252-9416
DOI - 10.54302/mausam.v41i2.2662
Subject(s) - climatology , monsoon , meteorology , range (aeronautics) , environmental science , globe , geography , geology , engineering , medicine , aerospace engineering , ophthalmology
An attempt is made to review the evolution and prospects of long range prediction of summer monsoon (June to September) rainfall over India as a whole, In addition, a variety of new Long Range Forecast (LRF) models has been developed and discussed in this paper. Further analysis of a recently developed model suggests that the dynamic stochastic transfer memory of the atmosphere is of the order of a decade. This speculation needs to be examined by developing similar models for other regions and seasons of the globe.