Long range prediction of summer monsoon rainfall over India: Evolution and development of new models | Zendy

V. THAPLIYAL | Zendy

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Long range prediction of summer monsoon rainfall over India: Evolution and development of new models

Author(s) -

V. THAPLIYAL

Publication year - 1990

Publication title -

mausam

Language(s) - English

Resource type - Journals

SCImago Journal Rank - 0.243

H-Index - 12

ISSN - 0252-9416

DOI - 10.54302/mausam.v41i2.2662

Subject(s) - climatology , monsoon , meteorology , range (aeronautics) , environmental science , globe , geography , geology , engineering , medicine , aerospace engineering , ophthalmology

An attempt is made to review the evolution and prospects of long range prediction of summer monsoon (June to September) rainfall over India as a whole, In addition, a variety of new Long Range Forecast (LRF) models has been developed and discussed in this paper. Further analysis of a recently developed model suggests that the dynamic stochastic transfer memory of the atmosphere is of the order of a decade. This speculation needs to be examined by developing similar models for other regions and seasons of the globe.

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