Open AccessA statistical method of forecasting the movement of cyclonic storms in the Bay of Bengal
Author(s) -
Rajni Bansal,
R. K. Datta
Publication year - 1974
Publication title -
mausam
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.243
H-Index - 12
ISSN - 0252-9416
DOI - 10.54302/mausam.v25i3.5245
Subject(s) - climatology , typhoon , bengal , storm , bay , tropical cyclone , meteorology , monsoon , environmental science , regression analysis , geography , geology , oceanography , mathematics , statistics
Arakawa (1963) established a set a of regression equations to forecast the movement and the central pressure of typhoons in the western North Pacific. In the present paper, using a similar scheme, we have fitted two sets of regression equations, one each for the pre-monsoon and post monsoon seasons (1963 to 1970). These equations have been tested during the storm season of 1971 and the results, which are encouraging, are presented in this paper.