Sources Allocation on Risk Performance of Egyptian Insurance Companies

The main objective of current paper was to investigate the relationship between sources allocations measured by (external sources to total assets- free investment and allocated investment to total assets) on risk performance measured by financial risk (standard deviation of return on equity) business risk (standard deviation of return on assets) using ARDL and GARCH model, using a sample of 19 Egyptian insurance companies over a 21 year period form 1999 – 2019, the findings indicate that There is a significant negative linear relationships between the independent variable in terms of capital structure and assets structure on dependent variable standard deviation of return on equity (Y1) at a Significant level less than (0.05). Also there is a significant positive linear relationship between the independent variable in terms of assets structure and dependent variable standard deviation of return on assets (Y2) at a significant level less than (0.001). with regard to ARCH and GARCH result shows the There is a significant positive effect of the ARCH term, measured as the lag of the squared residual from the mean equation, and the GARCH term, Last period’s forecast variance, at a significant level less than (0.05). It means that the high volatility in the conditional variance of standard deviation of return on assets y2. also The sum of the two parameters of: (α+β) in the GARCH model (1, 1) whether the random error are distributed according to normal distribution approaches the positive one, which indicates that the two conditions of non-negative variance, and the variance is not inflated are satisfied, and that Indication of the continuity of volatility shocks in the standard deviation of return on assets (Y2).