Open AccessA Flexible Valuation Model Incorporating Declining Growth Rates
Author(s) -
Larry C. Holland
Publication year - 2017
Publication title -
accounting and finance research
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
eISSN - 1927-5994
pISSN - 1927-5986
DOI - 10.5430/afr.v7n1p116
Subject(s) - valuation (finance) , cash flow , terminal value , econometrics , economics , growth model , rate of return , cash , growth rate , microeconomics , mathematics , operating cash flow , finance , geometry
A new model is developed in this paper which demonstrates a flexible method for modeling a cash flow stream with a declining growth rate that asymptotically approaches a mature long-term growth rate. This model can be applied when the initial growth rate in cash flows is temporarily larger than the required rate of return. A simple closed form equation of the valuation model is presented along with an example to illustrate the valuation of future cash flows with a declining growth rate. A comparison is made with the valuation from multi-stage models that have constant growth segments, the H-Model, and the Ohlson-Juettner Model. This highlights the difference in valuation that results from using this new model. An example is also included to illustrate how to match a decline curve to a specific forecast of future cash flows. This new declining growth model provides a flexible and practical approach for valuing equities.