Stochastic simulation and prediction of turbidity dynamics in karst systems. Case study: Mokra karst spring (SE Serbia)

Characterization of a karst system includes the analysis of two components – quantitative and qualitative one. Forecasting of future values of groundwater parameters can be very useful in defining the amounts of water needed for a reliable water supply. Stochastic simulation and forecasting were carried out for time series of precipitation and Mokra karst spring turbidity recorded in 2015. Simulation models within groundwater management would have a function in the early warning system which will enable timely response of groundwater source management.