Open AccessA COVID-19 epidemic model predicting the effectiveness of vaccination
Author(s) -
Glenn Webb
Publication year - 2021
Publication title -
mathematics in applied sciences and engineering
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
ISSN - 2563-1926
DOI - 10.5206/mase/13889
Subject(s) - vaccination , epidemic model , covid-19 , transmission (telecommunications) , asymptomatic , medicine , virology , demography , computer science , environmental health , infectious disease (medical specialty) , disease , population , pathology , telecommunications , sociology
A model of a COVID-19 epidemic is developed to predict the effectiveness of vaccination. The model incorporates key features of COVID-19 epidemics: asymptomatic and symptomatic infectiousness, reported and unreported cases, and social measures that decrease infection transmission. The model incorporates key features of vaccination: vaccination efficiency, vaccination scheduling, and relaxation of socialmeasures that decrease infection transmission as vaccination is implemented. The model is applied to predict vaccination effectiveness in the United Kingdom.