A COVID-19 epidemic model predicting the effectiveness of vaccination | Zendy

Glenn F. Webb | Zendy

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A COVID-19 epidemic model predicting the effectiveness of vaccination

Author(s) -

Glenn F. Webb

Publication year - 2021

Publication title -

mathematics in applied sciences and engineering

Language(s) - English

Resource type - Journals

ISSN - 2563-1926

DOI - 10.5206/mase/13889

Subject(s) - vaccination , epidemic model , covid-19 , transmission (telecommunications) , asymptomatic , medicine , environmental health , virology , computer science , demography , infectious disease (medical specialty) , outbreak , disease , population , telecommunications , pathology , sociology

A model of a COVID-19 epidemic is developed to predict the effectiveness of vaccination. The model incorporates key features of COVID-19 epidemics: asymptomatic and symptomatic infectiousness, reported and unreported cases, and social measures that decrease infection transmission. The model incorporates key features of vaccination: vaccination efficiency, vaccination scheduling, and relaxation of socialmeasures that decrease infection transmission as vaccination is implemented. The model is applied to predict vaccination effectiveness in the United Kingdom.

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