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The Relationship between Gold Prices and Exchange Value of US Dollar in India
Author(s) -
Girish K. Nair,
Naveen Choudhary,
Harsh Purohit
Publication year - 2015
Publication title -
emerging markets journal/emerging markets journal
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
eISSN - 2159-242X
pISSN - 2158-8708
DOI - 10.5195/emaj.2015.66
Subject(s) - liberian dollar , recession , economics , granger causality , exchange rate , gold standard (test) , currency , us dollar , monetary economics , value (mathematics) , econometrics , keynesian economics , mathematics , statistics , finance

The inverse relationship between the value of U.S. dollar and that of gold is one of the most talked about relationships in currency markets. The present study is an attempt to understand the impact of recession of 2008 on relationship between exchange rate of US dollar in INR and gold prices in India. The study uses Johansen Co- Integration test to check the long term association between exchange rate of US dollar in INR and gold prices in India and it further uses the Granger Causality Test to check the lead lag relationship between the variables. A separate pre, during and post recession analysis of the variables is done to understand the impact of recession on this relationship. The study highlights how this relationship has changed since the global turmoil.

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