Open AccessDynamic life tables and projections for the ecuatorian population using the Lee-Carter model
Author(s) -
Wilson A. Arias,
David A. ZALDUMBIDE
Publication year - 2022
Publication title -
revista espacios/espacios
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
eISSN - 2739-0071
pISSN - 0798-1015
DOI - 10.48082/espacios-a22v43n01p03
Subject(s) - life expectancy , life table , projection (relational algebra) , population , statistics , projections of population growth , population projection , demography , econometrics , mathematics , research methodology , sociology , algorithm
Static mortality tables underestimate the life expectancy of individuals when used over extended periods of time, since they do not take into account the gradual decrease in mortality due to improvements in living conditions. In light of this, we propose pivot tables that take into account the effect of chronological time on mortality. Our research presents the Lee-Carter model for the construction of pivot mortality tables and the projection for the ecuadorian population. Population death data corresponding to the 1990-2016.