Open AccessВлияние covid-19 на российскую экономику: методологические подходы к оценке на основе межотраслевого баланса
Author(s) -
А. А. Быков,
В. А. Пархименко,
Sergey Tolkachev,
Aleksandr Bykov,
V. A. Parhimenko,
Sergey Tolkachev
Publication year - 2020
Publication title -
belorusskij èkonomičeskij žurnal
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
ISSN - 1818-4510
DOI - 10.46782/1818-4510-2020-2-25-37
Subject(s) - context (archaeology) , covid-19 , russian federation , russian economy , economics , goods and services , supply and demand , final demand , economy , business , production (economics) , macroeconomics , economic system , economic policy , geography , medicine , disease , archaeology , pathology , infectious disease (medical specialty)
We made an attempt to evaluate the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on theeconomy of Russian Federation, based on estimates of domestic demand decrease for each of the 98 industries (products) identified in the system of input-output tables. The analysis was carried out in the context of identifying two key factors of demand changes: lockdown measures that directly limit domestic demand, as well as global oil prices, leading to a reduction in export income of the economy and a subsequent reduction in demand for goods and services in the domestic market. The obtained quantitativeestimates are presented in the context of selected industries, sectors and the Russian economy as a whole. As a generalized conclusion, it justifies the assessment of the joint effect of lockdown and a decrease in oil exports at about 5% of GDP