Open AccessRelevence and Effectiveness of Mathematical Models Dealing with Covid-19 Pandemic
Author(s) -
Uma Shankar Shukla
Publication year - 2020
Publication title -
international journal of modern trends in science and technology
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
ISSN - 2455-3778
DOI - 10.46501/ijmtst061023
Subject(s) - pandemic , clarity , government (linguistics) , covid-19 , order (exchange) , politics , face (sociological concept) , computer science , risk analysis (engineering) , operations research , management science , disease , political science , data science , public relations , business , economics , sociology , engineering , law , medicine , infectious disease (medical specialty) , social science , biochemistry , chemistry , linguistics , philosophy , finance , pathology
How does COVID-19 pandemic affect the India? How many people can be hit in a state and how many ofthem will succumb to the disease? When is it going to peak? How long should the government continue withthe lockdown? What is the damage to the economy and what is its impact on each sector? These are some ofthe questions that haunt not only the decision makers but every sensible people in India. Mathematicalmodels developed by mathematicians and epidemiologists has come to assist decision makers in evaluatingthe effects of countermeasures to an epidemic before they actually deploy them. The model could give politicaland beuricatic person's critical insights into the best steps they could take to counter the spread of disease inthe face of pandemics. Mathematicians use modeling to represent, analyze and make predictions orotherwise provide insight into real world phenomena. Real world scenarios can be designed into amathematical model to bring clarity to big messy questions amid fast changing variables. These models aimto make simplifying assumptions in order to arrive at tractable equations.Dealing with the novel coronavirus is an unprecedented situation which the world could not have foreseen. Inorder to track the COVID-19 pandemic, make predictions about the disease's progression and take decisions,as of now, the government is solely dependent on data from doctors and health workers.