Open AccessWind Speed Prediction with Wavelet Time Series Based on Lorenz Disturbance
Author(s) -
Yagang Zhang,
P. Wang,
Penglai Cheng,
Shuang Lei
Publication year - 2017
Publication title -
advances in electrical and computer engineering
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.254
H-Index - 23
eISSN - 1844-7600
pISSN - 1582-7445
DOI - 10.4316/aece.2017.03014
Subject(s) - disturbance (geology) , series (stratigraphy) , time series , computer science , wavelet , wind speed , wavelet transform , control theory (sociology) , meteorology , pattern recognition (psychology) , artificial intelligence , machine learning , geography , geology , control (management) , paleontology
Due to the sustainable and pollution-free characteristics, wind energy has been one of the fastest growing renewable energy sources. However, the intermittent and random fluctuation of wind speed presents many challenges for reliable wind power integration and normal operation of wind farm. Accurate wind speed prediction is the key to ensure the safe operation of power system and to develop wind energy resources. Therefore, this paper has presented a wavelet time series wind speed prediction model based on Lorenz disturbance. Therefore, in this paper, combined with the atmospheric dynamical system, a wavelet-time series improved wind speed prediction model based on Lorenz disturbance is proposed and the wind turbines of different climate types in Spain and China are used to simulate the disturbances of Lorenz equations with different initial values. The prediction results show that the improved model can effectively correct the preliminary prediction of wind speed, improving the prediction. In a word, the research work in this paper will be helpful to arrange the electric power dispatching plan and ensure the normal operation of the wind farm