Open AccessAging of HIV epidemic in India: Insights from HIV estimation modeling under the national aids control programme
Author(s) -
Pradeep Kumar,
Damodar Sahu,
Nalini Chandra,
Arvind Kumar,
S. Irudaya Rajan
Publication year - 2020
Publication title -
indian journal of public health/indian journal of public health
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.381
H-Index - 26
eISSN - 2229-7693
pISSN - 0019-557X
DOI - 10.4103/ijph.ijph_127_20
Subject(s) - human immunodeficiency virus (hiv) , medicine , estimation , population , gerontology , multidisciplinary approach , environmental health , developing country , antiretroviral therapy , demography , viral load , virology , economic growth , political science , sociology , management , law , economics
People living with HIV are gradually getting older as a result of better survival with increased uptake of antiretroviral treatment in India. We aimed to quantify the aging HIV-infected population in India by undertaking a mathematical model analysis of 2017 rounds of HIV burden estimations under the National AIDS Control Programme. Our analysis projects that the mean age of HIV-infected people will increase from 38.4 years in 2005 to 45.5 years in 2025 with the proportion of HIV-infected people aged 50 years or older increasing from 19% in 2005 to 37% in 2025. This aging HIV epidemic is anticipated to lead to more non-AIDS morbidities, increased treatment complexity, and an inevitable need for multidisciplinary health-care services to ensure continued high-quality survival.