Open AccessTrends in average living children at the time of terminal contraception: A time series analysis over 27 years using ARIMA (p, d, q) nonseasonal model
Author(s) -
Sachin S Mumbare,
Shriram Gosavi,
Balaji D Almale,
Aruna P. Patil,
Supriya Dhakane,
Aniruddha Kadu
Publication year - 2014
Publication title -
indian journal of community medicine/indian journal of community medicine
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.375
H-Index - 32
eISSN - 1998-3581
pISSN - 0970-0218
DOI - 10.4103/0970-0218.143024
Subject(s) - sterilization (economics) , demography , autoregressive integrated moving average , population , family planning , fertility , statistics , total fertility rate , mathematics , birth rate , medicine , time series , research methodology , economics , sociology , monetary economics , foreign exchange market , foreign exchange
India's National Family Welfare Programme is dominated by sterilization, particularly tubectomy. Sterilization, being a terminal method of contraception, decides the final number of children for that couple. Many studies have shown the declining trend in the average number of living children at the time of sterilization over a short period of time. So this study was planned to do time series analysis of the average children at the time of terminal contraception, to do forecasting till 2020 for the same and to compare the rates of change in various subgroups of the population.