Breakdowns
Author(s) -
Keller Godfrey,
Rady Sven
Publication year - 2015
Publication title -
theoretical economics
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 4.404
H-Index - 32
eISSN - 1555-7561
pISSN - 1933-6837
DOI - 10.3982/te1670
Subject(s) - mathematical economics , poisson distribution , continuation , jump , construct (python library) , class (philosophy) , contrast (vision) , markov chain , function (biology) , computer science , bellman equation , markov process , value (mathematics) , cutoff , markov perfect equilibrium , mathematics , statistics , nash equilibrium , physics , quantum mechanics , artificial intelligence , evolutionary biology , biology , programming language
We study a continuous‐time game of strategic experimentation in which the players try to assess the failure rate of some new equipment or technology. Breakdowns occur at the jump times of a Poisson process whose unknown intensity is either high or low. In marked contrast to existing models, we find that the cooperative value function does not exhibit smooth pasting at the efficient cutoff belief. This finding extends to the boundaries between continuation and stopping regions in Markov perfect equilibria. We characterize the unique symmetric equilibrium, construct a class of asymmetric equilibria, and elucidate the impact of bad versus good Poisson news on equilibrium outcomes.
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