Open Access
Discretizing nonlinear, non‐Gaussian Markov processes with exact conditional moments
Author(s) -
Farmer Leland E.,
Toda Alexis Akira
Publication year - 2017
Publication title -
quantitative economics
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 4.062
H-Index - 27
eISSN - 1759-7331
pISSN - 1759-7323
DOI - 10.3982/qe737
Subject(s) - autoregressive model , discretization , mathematical optimization , mathematics , markov chain , nonlinear system , computer science , markov process , gaussian , gaussian process , algorithm , econometrics , statistics , machine learning , mathematical analysis , physics , quantum mechanics
Approximating stochastic processes by finite‐state Markov chains is useful for reducing computational complexity when solving dynamic economic models. We provide a new method for accurately discretizing general Markov processes by matching low order moments of the conditional distributions using maximum entropy. In contrast to existing methods, our approach is not limited to linear Gaussian autoregressive processes. We apply our method to numerically solve asset pricing models with various underlying stochastic processes for the fundamentals, including a rare disasters model. Our method outperforms the solution accuracy of existing methods by orders of magnitude, while drastically simplifying the solution algorithm. The performance of our method is robust to parameters such as the number of grid points and the persistence of the process.