Open AccessParameter estimation and prediction for coronavirus disease outbreak 2019 (COVID-19) in Algeria
Author(s) -
Soufiane Bentout,
Abdennasser Chekroun,
Toshikazu Kuniya
Publication year - 2020
Publication title -
aims public health
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
ISSN - 2327-8994
DOI - 10.3934/publichealth.2020026
Subject(s) - outbreak , basic reproduction number , covid-19 , epidemic model , estimation , population , statistics , intervention (counseling) , coronavirus , generation time , mathematics , econometrics , demography , disease , medicine , virology , infectious disease (medical specialty) , environmental health , economics , management , pathology , psychiatry , sociology
The wave of the coronavirus disease outbreak in 2019 (COVID-19) has spread all over the world. In Algeria, the first case of COVID-19 was reported on 25 February, 2020, and the number of confirmed cases of it has increased day after day. To overcome this difficult period and a catastrophic scenario, a model-based prediction of the possible epidemic peak and size of COVID-19 in Algeria is required.