Open AccessAn SIS epidemic model with time delay and stochastic perturbation on heterogeneous networks
Author(s) -
Meici Sun,
Qiming Liu
Publication year - 2021
Publication title -
mathematical biosciences and engineering
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.451
H-Index - 45
eISSN - 1551-0018
pISSN - 1547-1063
DOI - 10.3934/mbe.2021337
Subject(s) - perturbation (astronomy) , extinction (optical mineralogy) , exponential function , mathematics , epidemic model , statistical physics , exponential growth , exponential decay , physics , mathematical analysis , demography , quantum mechanics , population , sociology , optics
An SIS epidemic model with time delay and stochastic perturbation on scale-free networks is established in this paper. And we derive sufficient conditions guaranteeing extinction and persistence of epidemics, respectively, which are related to the basic reproduction number $ R_0 $ of the corresponding deterministic model. When $ R_0 < 1 $, almost surely exponential extinction and $ p $-th moment exponential extinction of epidemics are proved by Razumikhin-Mao Theorem. Whereas, when $ R_0 > 1 $, the system is persistent in the mean under sufficiently weak noise intensities, which indicates that the disease will prevail. Finally, the main results are demonstrated by numerical simulations.