Open AccessThe Method of Proactive Risk Assessment for Flight Safety Based on the Rate of Dangerous Events
Author(s) -
Yevhen Honcharenko
Publication year - 2020
Publication title -
advances in military technology
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.137
H-Index - 11
eISSN - 2533-4123
pISSN - 1802-2308
DOI - 10.3849/aimt.01424
Subject(s) - aviation , risk assessment , aviation safety , aviation accident , military aviation , risk analysis (engineering) , risk management , aeronautics , computer science , engineering , computer security , business , finance , aerospace engineering
This publication is devoted to the issues of risk assessment in the safety management system of military aviation. The method of proactive assessment of risks to flight safety based on the number of dangerous events, which is based on correlation-regression analysis, provides an opportunity to predict the conditions that contribute to the occurrence of accidents. Studies conducted with this method have confirmed the dependence of the number of aviation accidents and serious incidents on incidents recorded for different groups of reasons, as well as on the intensity of flight activities. The obtained results can provide initial data for quantitative risk assessment in the safety management system of military aviation. The implementation of such an approach is appropriate in safety management systems in the transition phase from active to proactive approaches, until a sufficient information database on hazards is accumulated.