Open AccessApproaches to Scenario Development
Author(s) -
Jan Gireth
Publication year - 2018
Publication title -
vojenské rozhledy
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
eISSN - 2336-2995
pISSN - 1210-3292
DOI - 10.3849/2336-2995.27.2018.03.015-024
Subject(s) - czech , process (computing) , process management , quality (philosophy) , computer science , strategic planning , management science , strategic goal , development (topology) , scenario planning , systems engineering , engineering management , operations research , risk analysis (engineering) , engineering , political science , business , military science , law , mathematical analysis , mathematics , philosophy , linguistics , epistemology , marketing , operating system
The article deals with the issue of methodological approach to scenario development. This paper describes the methods and techniques used in scenarios development both in civilian sphere and within NATO and the EU, with an emphasis on their role in the military capability development process of the armed forces. The article defines the usual scenario construction process and describes the location and differences of generic and specific planning situations. In addition, the principles necessary to create quality scenarios are described here. The conclusion of the article deals with proposals focused on the elaboration of a methodology for scenario building in the Czech Armed Forces as part of the project "Strategic Alternatives to the Construction and Development of the Czech Armed Forces", which is being elaborated at the Center for Security and Military and Strategic Studies of the University of Defense in Brno.