Open AccessANALYSIS OF GENERAL AVIATION FIXED-WING AIRCRAFT ACCIDENTS INVOLVING INFLIGHT LOSS OF CONTROL USING A STATE-BASED APPROACH
Author(s) -
Neelakshi Majumdar,
Karen Marais,
Arjun H. Rao
Publication year - 2021
Publication title -
aviation
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.239
H-Index - 13
eISSN - 1822-4180
pISSN - 1648-7788
DOI - 10.3846/aviation.2021.15837
Subject(s) - aviation , aviation safety , aviation accident , aeronautics , coding (social sciences) , engineering , causation , poison control , airplane , state (computer science) , transport engineering , computer security , computer science , forensic engineering , aerospace engineering , mathematics , statistics , algorithm , political science , law , medicine , environmental health
Inflight loss of control (LOC-I) is a significant cause of General Aviation (GA) fixed-wing aircraft accidents. The United States National Transportation Safety Board’s database provides a rich source of accident data, but conventional analyses of the database yield limited insights to LOC-I. We investigate the causes of 5,726 LOC-I fixed‑wing GA aircraft accidents in the United States in 1999–2008 and 2009–2017 using a state-based modeling approach. The multi-year analysis helps discern changes in causation trends over the last two decades. Our analysis highlights LOC-I causes such as pilot actions and mechanical issues that were not discernible in previous research efforts. The logic rules in the state-based approach help infer missing information from the National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB) accident reports. We inferred that 4.84% (1999–2008) and 7.46% (2009–2017) of LOC-I accidents involved a preflight hazardous aircraft condition. We also inferred that 20.11% (1999–2008) and 19.59% (2009–2017) of LOC-I accidents happened because the aircraft hit an object or terrain. By removing redundant coding and identifying when codes are missing, the state-based approach potentially provides a more consistent way of coding accidents compared to the current coding system.