Open AccessEthnopolitical Processes in the North Caucasus: Dynamics and Stabilizing Factors
Author(s) -
Viktor A. Avksent’ev,
Galina D. Gritsenko,
S. Yu. Ivanova,
Marina M. Shul’ga
Publication year - 2019
Publication title -
international journal of recent technology and engineering
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
ISSN - 2277-3878
DOI - 10.35940/ijrte.c4592.098319
Subject(s) - clan , hierarchy , population , geography , delphi method , delphi , economic geography , regional science , demography , political science , computer science , sociology , statistics , mathematics , law , operating system
The paper is based on the results of an expert survey conducted in 2016-2017 in all territories located in of the North Caucasian Federal District. A detailed analysis of the results of the study, obtained by the method of expert assessments (Delphi group) is presented. The hierarchy of risks and threats was worked out and specified. The major risk factors include: the persistency of ethno-clan structure, the deterioration of the socioeconomic situation of a large part of the population and extremism, based on external factors. It is concluded that the ethnopolitical situation in the region is characterized by a combination of both positive and negative trends with a certain prevalence of stabilizing processes, but the regional situation can gain the reverse direction at any time.