Open AccessEfectos de la violencia sobre las tasas de emigración interna municipal en México: 1995-2015
Author(s) -
Óscar Rodríguez Chávez
Publication year - 2021
Publication title -
migraciones internacionales
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.258
H-Index - 8
eISSN - 2594-0279
pISSN - 1665-8906
DOI - 10.33679/rmi.v1i1.2045
Subject(s) - emigration , internal migration , demographic economics , geography , multinomial logistic regression , welfare economics , political science , demography , economics , sociology , population , mathematics , statistics , archaeology
This article explores the relationship between the increase of violence in Mexico and the rising level of internal municipal emigration before, during, and after the so-called Mexican Drug War, which started in 2007. Through a linear regression and multinomial logistic models, it is shown that violence has had a positive and significant effect on the increase of internal emigration rates, particularly in municipalities with the highest internal emigration rates during the 2005-2010 period. In addition, the effect of violence tendsto be greater on female emigration rates compared to males. This indicates the increase of forced internal displacement in Mexico due to violence in recent years. However, more studies are needed to shed light on forced displacement and the effects of high violence levels on internal and international migration.