Open AccessAnalisis Volatilitas Harga Daging Sapi Sebelum Sampai Dengan Sesudah Hari Besar Agama di Kota Jambi
Author(s) -
Firmansyah Firmansyah,
H Afriani,
Wahyu Aji Paiso
Publication year - 2021
Publication title -
jurnal ilmiah universitas batanghari jambi
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
eISSN - 2549-4236
pISSN - 1411-8939
DOI - 10.33087/jiubj.v21i1.1332
Subject(s) - heteroscedasticity , autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity , volatility (finance) , autoregressive model , econometrics , mathematics , economics
This study aims to analyze the level of beef price volatility before fasting (D-7) to after Eid (H + 7) in Jambi City, and compile a forecast model. This study used a survey method for beef traders in the Angso Duo market, Jambi City. The analysis used to calculate the volatility of beef prices is the ARCH (Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedastic) model analysis and the GARCH (Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity) model analysis. The average price of beef during the period before fasting (D-7) to after Eid (H + 7) in Jambi City was IDR 124,147 per kg with the highest price of IDR 150,000 and the lowest was 110,000 per kg. The volatility of beef prices during the period before fasting (D-7) to after Eid (H + 7) in Jambi City is the highest before Eid al-Fitr (Eid). ARCH and GARCH models can predict the future value of beef prices.