Open AccessAt the Turn of a New Axial Age: Macro Cycles in American History
Author(s) -
Vladimir Vasiliev
Publication year - 2020
Publication title -
perspektivy
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
ISSN - 2411-3417
DOI - 10.32726/2411-3417-2020-2-6-21
Subject(s) - politics , independence (probability theory) , spanish civil war , world war ii , macro , economic history , history , american history , political science , transition (genetics) , development economics , political economy , sociology , ancient history , law , economics , mathematics , statistics , computer science , programming language , biochemistry , chemistry , gene
The perception of American history within a paradigm of alternating cycles of conservative and liberal waves is being proved as valid for political prognoses, as it has been widely accepted in academic research since A. Schlesinger Jr.’s book “The Cycles of American History”. Accordingly, there are now identified eight political cycles 30-33 years long each. Though towards the end of the XX century American analysts introduced and started promoting a concept of 80 year-long macro cycles. Within this pattern the US since their emergence have experienced three macro cycles entering at present into the fourth. The transition has been marked by severe crises and turmoil in American society with implications comparable to those of the War for Independence (1775-1783), Civil War (1861-1865) and American involvement in World War II.