Open AccessPrediksi Kedatangan Turis Menggunakan Algoritma Weighted Exponential Moving Average
Author(s) -
Sherly Florencia,
Alethea Suryadibrata
Publication year - 2020
Publication title -
ultimatics : jurnal ilmu teknik informatika/ultimatics : jurnal teknik informatika
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
eISSN - 2581-186X
pISSN - 2085-4552
DOI - 10.31937/ti.v12i2.1831
Subject(s) - mean absolute percentage error , tourism , exponential smoothing , statistics , mathematics , span (engineering) , mean squared error , econometrics , geography , engineering , civil engineering , archaeology
Tourism is an important factor for the development of a country. Tourism can be used as a promotion to introduce natural beauty and cultural uniqueness. Government needs to predict how many tourists will come every year to do a planning. Therefore, an application is needed to help to predict the arrival of tourists in each country. In this paper, we use Weighted Exponential Moving Average (WEMA) method to predict the arrival of tourist, tourism expenditure in the country, and departure using data from 2008 to 2018. Error measurement is calculated using the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). The result shows that the lowest average MAPE on arrival data with span 2 is at 3.28. The lowest average MAPE on tourism expenditure data with span 2 is at 3.99%. The result shows that the lowest average MAPE on departure data with span 2 is at 3.63%.