Open AccessBasic reproduction number and effective reproduction number for North Cyprus for fighting Covid-19
Author(s) -
Evren Hınçal,
Bilgen Kaymakamzade,
Nezihal Gökbulut
Publication year - 2020
Publication title -
ķaraġandy universitetìnìn̦ habaršysy. matematika seriâsy
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
eISSN - 2663-5011
pISSN - 2518-7929
DOI - 10.31489/2020m3/86-95
Subject(s) - covid-19 , basic reproduction number , reproduction , herd immunity , pandemic , geography , government (linguistics) , demography , biology , virology , vaccination , medicine , ecology , sociology , outbreak , population , linguistics , philosophy , disease , pathology , infectious disease (medical specialty)
The aim of this paper is to show how North Cyprus fought with Covid-19 by using R0 and Rt, as herd immunity. For that purpose, we used a SEIR model for basic reproduction number, R0, and calculated Rt values by using R0 values. North Cyprus is the first country in Europe to free from Covid-19 epidemic. One of the most important reasons for this is that the government decided to tackle Covid-19 pandemic by using R0 and Rt daily. For R0, we constructed a new SEIR model by using real data for North Cyprus. From March 11, 2020 to May 15, 2020, R0 varies from 0.65 to 2.38.