Open AccessModelling of a forest succession development in local geoecosystems of Ukrainian Carpathians
Author(s) -
Аnatoliy Smaliychuk
Publication year - 2014
Publication title -
vìsnik lʹvìvsʹkogo unìversitetu. serìâ geografìčna
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
eISSN - 2415-7201
pISSN - 2078-6441
DOI - 10.30970/vgg.2014.47.969
Subject(s) - ecological succession , ukrainian , logistic regression , geography , land cover , statistical analysis , physical geography , regression analysis , statistical model , land use , statistics , ecology , mathematics , philosophy , linguistics , biology
The paper showed an algorithm and a result of analysis of recent geoecosystem dynamic’s drivers, which reveals in its land cover changes. Five model municipalities were selected for this study in the foothill, low and middle mountain within Lviv region. The statistical analysis was performed using mathematical model of logistic regression. It was found out that geoecosystems’ changes is more connected with natural, than anthropogenic, drivers of land use. The logistic regression coefficients, calculated during statistical analysis, were used for spatial modelling of forest succession probability in geoecosystems in future. Key words: Ukrainian Carpathians, geoecosystems, land cover, forest succession, statistical analysis, logistic regression, GIS.