Open AccessA Study of COVID-19 Mortality Under Varying Patient Frailty
Author(s) -
Alison Sifuentes,
Olcay Akman,
Daniel Hrozencik
Publication year - 2021
Publication title -
spora
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
eISSN - 2473-5493
pISSN - 2473-3067
DOI - 10.30707/spora7.1.1624911489.583676
Subject(s) - covid-19 , mortality rate , population , infectious disease (medical specialty) , demography , disease , medicine , virology , outbreak , environmental health , sociology
For this study, we modeled the spread and mortality of COVID-19 throughout the city of Chicago. By incorporating group frailty into a classic SEIR infectious disease model, we were able to differentiate the population of Chicago by their response to COVID-19. Three age groups with different COVID-19-induced death rates were examined, and the model sought to showcase the multiplicative deviation of each age group death rate from the average disease-induced death rate. This adjustment for different death rates among age groups accounted for heterogeneity within the population, and sought to introduce a more accurate manner for modeling the spread of infectious diseases.