Open AccessPredictive Model of Postgraduate Student’s Dropout and Delay Using Machine Learning Algorithms
Author(s) -
Muhammad Arif Nadeem,
Sellappan Palaniappan
Publication year - 2021
Publication title -
international journal of advanced trends in computer science and engineering
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
ISSN - 2278-3091
DOI - 10.30534/ijatcse/2021/591022021
Subject(s) - graduation (instrument) , decision tree , dropout (neural networks) , drop out , computer science , machine learning , artificial neural network , artificial intelligence , decision tree learning , random forest , logistic regression , psychology , mathematics , economics , geometry , demographic economics
Neural networks and Logical Regression algorithm provide the best ways to classify data, but they are outperformed continuously by the Decision Tree in analyzing student performance. Therefore, many scholars have used the Decision Tree to predict student performance with greater success. This research analyzed postgraduate student degree outcomes using socioeconomic data to develop a prediction model, where Decision Tree recorded the highest accuracy of 92.79%, better than Logical Regression and Neural Network. For brevity, the Decision Tree was used to produce the prediction model. Based on the study findings, postgraduate students who delay or drop out at the university mostly lack sponsors or had decreased income. Besides, male students delay or drop out if they had financial issues more than their female counterparts. Age, money management skills, number of children, and health expenses are the other factors that contribute to higher dropout or delay at the university. Therefore, this study provides a reliable prediction model for degree outcomes, allowing personalized follow-up to improve graduation rates.