Open AccessReal-time modelling of influenza outbreaks - a linear regression analysis
Author(s) -
Jordan Mooney,
E. Holmes,
P. A. F. Christie
Publication year - 2002
Publication title -
euro surveillance/eurosurveillance
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 2.766
H-Index - 104
eISSN - 1560-7917
pISSN - 1025-496X
DOI - 10.2807/esm.07.12.00390-en
Subject(s) - outbreak , linear regression , regression analysis , simple linear regression , linear model , measure (data warehouse) , statistics , regression , geography , environmental health , medicine , virology , computer science , mathematics , data mining
Seasonal outbreaks of influenza exert a considerable burden on health services, and are notorious for their variability from year to year. Making use of historical data from the Scottish sentinelle surveillance since 1972, a potential candidate model has been derived based on simple linear regression. It was applied with a measure of success in the 1999–2000 winter season.