Open AccessECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS OF THE VOLUME OF MUTUAL TRADE OF THE EAEU MEMBER STATES
Author(s) -
Mariya Tsvil,
Ella Guleva,
Margarita Zubkova
Publication year - 2021
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Conference proceedings
DOI - 10.26526/conferencearticle_61cc296bccac42.37597958
Subject(s) - quarter (canadian coin) , volume (thermodynamics) , multiplicative function , member states , econometric model , econometrics , series (stratigraphy) , economics , international trade , mathematics , physics , geography , geology , mathematical analysis , paleontology , archaeology , quantum mechanics , european union
The article provides econometric time series models for the volumes of mutual trade of the EAEU member states based on quarterly data from the 1st quarter of 2017 to the 3rd quarter of 2021. An exponential smoothing model and a multiplicative model are built. Also, a forecast was made for the volume of mutual trade in the IV quarter of 2021