Open AccessTREND, GROWTH RATE AND INSTABILITY ANALYSIS OF PRODUCTION, PRODUCTIVITY, AREA AND SUPPLY OF POTATO IN KAVREPALANCHOK DISTRICT, NEPAL
Author(s) -
Mahesh Rijal,
R. B. Thapa,
Arvind K. Srivastava,
Gunakeshari Lamsal
Publication year - 2021
Publication title -
food and agri economics review
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
ISSN - 2785-9002
DOI - 10.26480/faer.02.2021.80.87
Subject(s) - christian ministry , productivity , agriculture , livestock , production (economics) , trend analysis , agricultural science , agricultural economics , geography , environmental science , mathematics , forestry , economics , economic growth , philosophy , statistics , theology , archaeology , macroeconomics
A study was carried out to assess the trend of area, production, productivity and supply of potato in Kavre district, Nepal. The time-series data (1999/00 to 2017/18) were collected from the “Statistical Information on Nepalese Agriculture” published yearly by the Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development, Nepal and the data of potato (red and white) supply from Kavre to Kalimati wholesale market from 2000/01 to 2019/20 was collected from the official website of Kalimati market. The data were entered and analyzed using Microsoft Excel and XLSTAT. Mann-Kendall test (M-K) and Sen’s slope method were used for trend analysis. The results showed that the potato cultivation area increased by 341.786 ha/year, production increased by 8323.933 Mt/year and productivity increased by 0.231 Mt/ha/year from 1999/00 to 2017/18. Similarly, the red potato supply from Kavre to the Kalimati market increased by 13.412 Mt/year and the white potato supply decreased by 234.174 Mt/year during the period from 2000/01 to 2019/20. The instability analysis showed 34.41%, 41.36% and 11.16%. coefficient of variation for area, production and productivity while red potato and white potato supply showed 11.64% and 107.86% variation. The average annual growth rates for area, production and productivity of potato were 6.02%, 8.83% and 2.43%, respectively. Similarly, growth rate of red potato supply was 3.91% per annum while white potato supply decreased at the compound annual growth rate of 19.61%. Thus, an increasing trend of area, production and productivity and supply of potato along with a positive growth rate for the potato can be seen in the Kavre district. Findings from this study could be used to suggest necessary policy guidelines for future production and marketing strategies of potato in Kavre.