Open AccessPopulation forecasting in Canada: conceptual and methodological developments
Author(s) -
M. V. George
Publication year - 2001
Publication title -
canadian studies in population
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.157
H-Index - 8
eISSN - 1927-629X
pISSN - 0380-1489
DOI - 10.25336/p64s4p
Subject(s) - population projection , population , projections of population growth , projection (relational algebra) , regional science , econometrics , value (mathematics) , geography , computer science , operations research , population growth , demography , sociology , mathematics , machine learning , algorithm
After introducing the value and interest in population forecasting, the thrust of the paper is on conceptual issues and methodological developments in population forecasting. It provides an historical overview of population projections by Statistics Canada and is presented for the periods before and after the 1970s, covering a seventy-year history. The evolution of the current regional cohort component projection model is articulated by describing the methodological developments by components in each of the six sets of population projections from the 1970s to the beginning of the new century. Also presented is a brief account of the main special/customized projections prepared. Finally, the paper provides a brief evaluation of the accuracy of selected past projections.