Public Transport Perspectives for 2030 In Brazil: A Path Towards Sustainable Mobility

Objective: The objective of the study was to analyze projections that impact sustainable urban mobility for the year 2030 in small and medium-sized cities that use the bus as the main modal.Theoretical framework: The research brings perspectives to make urban mobility in small and medium-sized Brazilian cities more sustainable.Method: The Survey method was used; data collection through a questionnaire applied to public transport specialists in Brazil. In the data analysis, the calculation of the degree of agreement of the answers was used for 13 projections, in three aspects: probability of occurrence, business impact and the desire to occur. The averages of each category were also taken, plotted on a graph with X axis (probability of occurrence) and Y axis (impact on the transport sector).Results and conclusion: The results point to an increase in the use of semi-public transport, tariff changes and greater integration between the bus and more sustainable modes such as walking and cycling. For sustainable mobility, a greater interest in sustainability, investment in infrastructure, dedicated corridors and lanes, integration between modes, use of renewable energy and implementation of subsidy can be the key to environmental solutions.Research implications: The research contributed theoretically to the literature review and managerial and political questionnaire indicating the priority points for public and private investments.Originality/value: The research points out investment points to make urban mobility more sustainable and at the same time profitable for transport companies.