Open AccessA Computer Model of the Spread of the Pandemic and its Analysis
Author(s) -
Avtandil Bardavelidze,
İrakli Basheleishvili,
Khatuna Bradvelidze
Publication year - 2021
Publication title -
international journal of computer and information technology
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
ISSN - 2279-0764
DOI - 10.24203/ijcit.v10i5.165
Subject(s) - epidemic model , matlab , computer science , pandemic , projection (relational algebra) , state vector , software , state (computer science) , process (computing) , variable (mathematics) , dissemination , incidence (geometry) , state variable , covid-19 , mathematics , algorithm , medicine , telecommunications , environmental health , mathematical analysis , population , physics , geometry , disease , pathology , classical mechanics , infectious disease (medical specialty) , thermodynamics , programming language , operating system
The paper describes and analyzes a mathematical model of the variable state of the incidence of epidemic diseases, which is of great importance for determining the quantity of vaccines and antiviral drugs to be produced. The information model according to the system of differential equations of the spread of the pandemic is illustrated in a structural diagram. The model is presented in a vector-matrix form and the state of equilibrium of the model in the spatial state is proved.The model of the spread of the pandemic was developed, whose implementation with a Matlab software package resulted in obtaining the curves of variation of the state. The developed computer model of the incidence of epidemic diseases can be used to make a projection of the number of infected people, as well as intensity of the process of disseminating information and ideas in the community.