
DINAMICS OF OBSERVER’S BEHAVIOR IN SHIP’S SYSTEM OF CIRCULAR MONITORING
Author(s) -
Tagi Garyagdi ogly Tagiev,
Vyacheslav Ivanovich Menshikov
Publication year - 2017
Publication title -
vestnik astrahanskogo gosudarstvennogo tehničeskogo universiteta. seriâ: morskaâ tehnika i tehnologiâ
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
eISSN - 2225-0352
pISSN - 2073-1574
DOI - 10.24143/2073-1574-2017-3-36-43
Subject(s) - observer (physics) , computer science , situational ethics , probabilistic logic , control theory (sociology) , control (management) , operations research , mathematics , artificial intelligence , psychology , social psychology , physics , quantum mechanics
The article presents a compiled dynamic model of the observer's behavior in the ship's system of circular observation, within the framework of the probabilistic approach with topology taking into account the fact that the ship's specialist observing and regulating any hazards while navigation and fishing should be guided by knowledge and experience of watch keeping. This model allows firstly, to estimate the probability of certain specific forms of the observer’s behavior; secondly, to determine the average time which shows his ability to cope with dangerous situation during navigation or fishing; thirdly, to form a certain order of transition from one behavioral state of observer to another. The proposed model is a cyclic graph in which the random time of observer's behavior can be determined by a given linguistic parameters interpreted into the morphological representation, which are fixed in the form of time distribution laws. Within the framework of composed dynamic model of observer's behavior there has been found the average time of his equilibrium behavior during which he can keep the watch, perform all-sky environmental observations and control - at the given purpose and fixed management culture - dangerous navigational situations under the principle of "situational awareness". The put forward alternative hypotheses taken as linguistic parameters that define dynamics of observer's behavior, are appropriate within the practical activities in the ship's all-sky survey system. This allows estimating the average time spent in a state of equilibrium behavior, which fully corresponds to the principle of situational awareness, and defining a certain order of transitions from one behavioral state to another.