Open AccessFINANCIAL RISKS AND STOCK MARKET CRASHES: AN EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS OF THE TUNISIAN STOCK MARKET
Author(s) -
Haifa Hammami,
Younés Boujelbène
Publication year - 2021
Publication title -
applied finance letters
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
eISSN - 2253-5802
pISSN - 2253-5799
DOI - 10.24135/afl.v10i.379
Subject(s) - stock market , business , market liquidity , stock exchange , market maker , market risk , market depth , liquidity risk , stock market bubble , financial system , financial economics , monetary economics , economics , finance , paleontology , horse , biology
This study aims to investigate the effect of financial risks on the stock market crashes occurrence from 1999 to 2020. Using the windows method, we detect two stock market crises in the Tunisian stock market. Based on the probit model, we find evidence that low stock return risk, low EUR/TND exchange rate risk, high interest rate risk, high credit risk and high liquidity risk increase the occurrence probability of stock market crashes. Our results suggest that the decrease in volatility, particularly in equity and exchange market, the increase in volatility in interest rate, the credit rating downgrades issued by Moody’s and the low liquidity market contribute to crashes in the Tunisian stock market. In summary, financial risks, which are the market risks, the credit risk and the liquidity risk could be leading indicators of crashes in the Tunisian stock market.
Keywords: Stock market crashes; Liquidity risk; Credit risk; Market risks.