Open AccessAPPROACHES TO ECONOMIC CRISES FORECASTING BY MEANS OF EXCHANGE INDICES ON THE EXAMPLE OF FOREIGN EXPERIENCE
Author(s) -
Oleksandr Astafiev,
Kateryna Astafieva,
Serhii Rtyshchev,
Valeriia Astafieva
Publication year - 2018
Publication title -
periodyk naukowy akademii polonijnej
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
eISSN - 2543-8204
pISSN - 1895-9911
DOI - 10.23856/3009
Subject(s) - index (typography) , stock market index , stock exchange , economics , subject (documents) , object (grammar) , foreign exchange , value (mathematics) , financial economics , econometrics , economy , geography , finance , mathematics , statistics , computer science , stock market , monetary economics , artificial intelligence , context (archaeology) , archaeology , world wide web , library science
The article explores the possibility of financial crises forecasting in the account of stock indexes changes analysis. The subject of the study was the United States of America, and the object was the Dow Jones index, which has been analyzed over the past 47 years. It has been determined that it is highly probable that the value of the Dow Jones index variation coefficient can be predicted in 2018-2020. It has been outlined that the US economic development will be appropriate within the next three years.