Premium
Simulation de la fécondité au moyen d'un modèle basé sur la courbe du type I de pearson
Author(s) -
Mitra S.,
Romaniuk A.
Publication year - 1973
Publication title -
canadian journal of statistics
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.804
H-Index - 51
eISSN - 1708-945X
pISSN - 0319-5724
DOI - 10.2307/3315001
Subject(s) - fertility , statistics , mathematics , type (biology) , econometrics , demography , sociology , population , ecology , biology
There have been various attempts to use the Pearson type I curve for the purpose of graduating age‐specific fertility rates for human populations. This article attempts to broaden the scope of application of this curve, and discusses three particular areas where such application of this curve would be feasible. These areas are: simulation of age‐specific fertility rates; estimation of certain fertility parameters where statistics are either unreliable or incomplete as is the case in most developing countries; and projections of births. The writers feel that the greatest potential of the Pearsonian type I curve lies in the area of parametric model building for birth projections. One of the important prerequisites for a fruitful application in this area is simplification of procedures and reduction of a number of parameters needed to derive the Pearsonian type I curve. This article presents new methods for deriving this latter curve. The results of the proposed models are tested against data on age‐specific fertility rates for Canada.