
‘Emerging contrary result’ phenomenon and scientific realism
Author(s) -
Mariusz Maziarz
Publication year - 2021
Publication title -
panoeconomicus
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.289
H-Index - 14
eISSN - 2217-2386
pISSN - 1452-595X
DOI - 10.2298/pan171218024m
Subject(s) - criticism , positive economics , realism , economics , phenomenon , robustness (evolution) , argument (complex analysis) , econometrics , econometric model , epistemology , philosophy , law , political science , biochemistry , chemistry , gene
The article is aimed at reconsidering the question if the project of econometrics can be read in line with scientific realism. Previously, the methodological literature focused on the philosophy of econometrics, voices criticizing realist interpretations of econometrics were raised. The criticism was aimed at showing that econometric models lack robustness. The use of slightly different methods leads to obtaining different and often contrary models what supposedly undermine the project of econometrics. In this article, I aim at offering a new argument in defence of the current practice of the economists devoted to the empirical branch of macroeconomics. To do so, I apply Uskali M?ki?s (2009) model of representation to three case studies of contradictory pairs of econometric models and argue that contrary results are not necessarily a drawback of econometrics. Instead, the seemingly contradictory pairs of models are useful in various contexts constituted by their purpose and audience.