Open AccessPower transformer health index estimation using evidential reasoning
Author(s) -
Srdjan Milosavljević,
Aleksandar Janjić
Publication year - 2020
Publication title -
facta universitatis. series electronics and energetics/facta universitatis. series: electronics and energetics
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
eISSN - 2217-5997
pISSN - 0353-3670
DOI - 10.2298/fuee2004571m
Subject(s) - weighting , evidential reasoning approach , reliability engineering , index (typography) , ranking (information retrieval) , transformer , computer science , data mining , operations research , engineering , decision support system , medicine , artificial intelligence , electrical engineering , world wide web , business decision mapping , voltage , radiology
Market-oriented power distribution system requires a well-planned budget with scheduled preventive and corrective maintenance during a replacement of units that are in an unsatisfactory condition. In recent years, the concept of the transformer health index as an integral part of resource management was adopted for the condition assessment and ranking of ETs. However, because of the lack of regular measurement and inspections, the confidence in health index value is greatly reduced. The paper proposes a novel methodology for the ET condition assessment and the lifetime increase through the establishment of priorities for control and maintenance. The solution is based on the upgraded health index, where the confidence to the measurement results is calculated using Evidential reasoning algorithm based on Dempster - Shafer theory. A novel, two - level hierarchical model of ET health index is proposed, with real weighting factors values. This way, the methodology for ET ranking includes the value of available information to describe ET current state. The proposed methodology is tested on real data of an installed ET and compared with the traditional health index calculation.