Open AccessRice Production Estimation In Central Sulawesi Through The Utilization Of Rainfall By Using Generalized Additive Model
Author(s) -
Lilies Handayani,
Rizky Amelia,
F H A Putera
Publication year - 2020
Publication title -
jurnal ilmiah matematika dan terapan/jurnal ilmiah matematika dan terapan
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
eISSN - 2540-766X
pISSN - 1829-8133
DOI - 10.22487/2540766x.2019.v16.i2.13997
Subject(s) - downscaling , production (economics) , environmental science , estimation , climatology , meteorology , geography , precipitation , geology , engineering , systems engineering , economics , macroeconomics
Climate models that are able to simulate rainfall in Indonesia so far have not been found. The highly complex topography and interaction of the sea, land and atmosphere adds to the complexity of simulations and predictions of rainfall in Indonesia, particularly in Central Sulawesi. This research focuses on utilizing the results of prediction or forecast rainfall. Rainfall forecasting results obtained are then modeled with data on the level of rice production, so we can predict the future supply of rice (rice). This study examines statistical downscaling modeling with a generalized additive model approach to describe the rainfall events that occur within a certain time period. The data used is rainfall data in Central Sulawesi Province, because this region is a supplier of rice in Sulawesi.